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Commuting by ferry or floatplane, a trend that has been growing in the region since 2001, may become too expensive for even the most well-heeled residents.
Vancouver's long commuters face problems of peak oil
With little more than a minute between them, floatplane after floatplane glided over Stanley Park and onto the water at Coal Harbour. It was 7:45 a.m. Tuesday morning (September 23), and the crowds exiting the planes were dressed in suits and luggage-free.
These are Vancouver’s supercommuters, defined for this article as people who travel more than a two-hour drive to work. The 2006 census shows that commuting long distances is common, and a trend that has grown since 2001, despite the rapidly rising cost of fuel.
The environmental costs of flying or ferrying to work—as against the vision of the Metro Vancouver Liveable Region Strategic Plan, which promotes compact communities—are obvious. Anthony Perl, the director of Simon Fraser University’s urban studies program, called the growth in supercommuting a “self-correcting problem”, as fuel costs will soon crunch the lifestyles of even the most flush among the suit-and-tie set.
However, he told the Georgia Straight, the notion of
“There’s two places where I think dirigibles would make good transportation,” Perl said, noting he’s touted the use of zeppelins in his newest book, Transport Revolutions (Earthscan, 2007), which he coauthored with Toronto urban consultant Richard Gilbert.
“One is transporting food in the remote North. The other is in the triangle between the Gulf Islands, Vancouver, Victoria, and Nanaimo. It may sound futuristic, but there’s no combination of biodiesel and French-fry oil that can fly the light planes around the gulf economically.”
Perl may be alone in planning for the future of supercommuting in
southwestern British Columbia. Metro Vancouver hasn’t talked to the Victoria-area Capital Regional District about it, according to Metro spokesperson Bill Morrell. Nor does TransLink deal with it, according to spokesperson Ken Hardie. At the Union of B.C. Municipalities convention held September 22 to 26 in Penticton, the delegates are not discussing supercommuting, nor do any resolutions address it.
The 2006 census asked citizens to name their regular place of residence and regular place of work. Bowen Island, for example, sends 675 people to work in Greater Vancouver. That’s more than the 430 who both live and work on the island. From Whistler, 280 commute to the Lower Mainland, up from 235 in 2001. Victoria sends 195 across the Strait of Georgia, up from 160. Kelowna sends 255 to the Lower Mainland, up from 190. Gibsons sends 190, up from 75.
The City of Vancouver sends 745 workers out of province to their regular place of work, to cities such as Toronto, Calgary, Edmonton, and Fort McMurray, Alberta. Another 1,075 of the city’s residents leave Greater
Vancouver for their workplace.
According to census data, many communities around the strait send workers to Vancouver, and many of them saw a rise in supercommuters between 2001 and 2006. That’s despite substantial increases in ferry fares.
Michael Alexander, a research analyst for Smart Growth B.C., said the stats don’t tell the full story. How often do these commuters commute, for example? Statistics Canada doesn’t ask. He told the Straight he’s not surprised at the numbers, as many businesses have two or more offices.
“From 2001 to 2006, the amount of national and international business was growing substantially,” Alexander said. “I’m much more interested in what happened last year.”
Perl said he knows he sounds like a nut for promoting dirigibles as an alternative. The aircraft lost popularity with the rise of the airplane and the 1937 explosion of the Hindenburg. But he argued that investing in sustainable solutions makes more sense than, say, building more fuel tanks at Vancouver International Airport. And, he said, the surface areas of dirigibles are large enough to be used for solar power.


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Comments
According to most independent scientific studies, global oil production will now decline from 74 million barrels per day to 60 million barrels per day by 2015. During the same time demand will increase 14%.
This is equivalent to a 33% drop in 7 years. No one can reverse this trend, nor can we conserve our way out of this catastrophe. Because the demand for oil is so high, it will always exceed production levels; thus oil depletion will continue steadily until all recoverable oil is extracted.
Alternatives will not even begin to fill the gap. And most alternatives yield electric power, but we need liquid fuels for tractors/combines, 18 wheel trucks, trains, ships, and mining equipment.
We are facing the collapse of the highways that depend on diesel trucks for maintenance of bridges, cleaning culverts to avoid road washouts, snow plowing, roadbed and surface repair. When the highways fail, so will the power grid, as highways carry the parts, transformers, steel for pylons, and high tension cables, all from far away. With the highways out, there will be no food coming in from "outside," and without the power grid virtually nothing works, including home heating, pumping of gasoline and diesel, airports, communications, and automated systems.
This is documented in a free 48 page report that can be downloaded, website posted, distributed, and emailed: http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html
I used to live in NH-USA, but moved to a sustainable place. Anyone interested in relocating to a nice, pretty, sustainable area with a good climate and good soil? Email: clifford dot wirth at yahoo dot com or give me a phone call which operates here as my old USA-NH number 603-668-4207. http://survivingpeakoil.blogspot.com/
Jan Steinman, EcoReality http://www.EcoReality.org
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