The B.C. Liberal Party appears to be on the rise, picking up three percentage points to register 35 percent voter support in poll results released by Ipsos Reid on December 4.
Although it’s comfortably in the lead with 48-percent support among decided voters, the B.C. NDP has shed one point since September. The B.C. Conservatives were at nine percent, down by three, in the online survey conducted between November 26 and November 30.
According to Ipsos Reid vice president Kyle Braid, there are two ways Premier Christy Clark and her B.C. Liberals can win the May 2013 election.
“Either Adrian Dix and the NDP make a significant mistake,” Braid told the Straight by phone, “or the Liberals can work on the issue of the economy, and try to turn it more to their advantage than they have currently done.”
Braid pointed to the survey results to support his point about the economy. The poll shows that 59 percent of British Columbians, or nearly six in 10, think the economy is in “very good” or “good” shape. Thirty-eight percent, or about four in 10, believe it’s in “poor” or “very poor” shape.
“It should be a statistic that should benefit the incumbent,” Braid said. “But to this point, it’s clear that they haven’t managed to take advantage of that in the minds of voters, which suggests that some voters are either voting on other issues or they aren’t giving the Liberals credit for the strength of the economy.”
For Braid, the path the B.C. Liberals should take over the next six months is clear: “I think they need to establish in some voters’ minds that the economy is partially due to their good policies. And that moving to the NDP would represent a risk.”