Premier Gordon Campbell's resignation guarantees Carole James will lead NDP in next election

Premier Gordon Campbell’s sudden resignation today (November 3) caught most British Columbians by surprise.

That’s because just last week, he shook up his cabinet. And he delivered a rare provincewide televised address, in which he announced a 15-percent cut in personal income taxes and left an impression that he wasn’t going to quit.

But something happened over the past few days to turn those plans upside down. It could have been another poll. Maybe he knew his caucus was going to tell him to take a hike.

One thing is clear: the next B.C. election will likely take place well before 2013.

There are two reasons for this. The first is that the next leader of the B.C. Liberal party will be chosen within the next seven months.

It’s unlikely that this person will sit as premier for almost two years without a mandate from the electorate.

But wait. Didn’t the B.C. Liberals under Campbell’s leadership introduce fixed-election dates, which means the next voting day is scheduled for May 14, 2013?

They certainly did. However, the effect of that law was put in doubt by a Federal Court of Appeal ruling last May.

Three justices unanimously ruled that the federal fixed-election law did not preclude Prime Minister Stephen Harper from calling a snap election in 2008.

According to the Ottawa-based public-interest group Democracy Watch, which lost the case, the ruling “effectively cancelled” B.C.’s fixed-election law and similar laws in other provinces.

The coast appears to be clear for the next B.C. Liberal leader to call a snap election well ahead of May 14, 2013.

Meanwhile, the B.C. NDP won’t hold a leadership vote until its November 2011 convention.

If NDP delegates give the thumbs down to Leader Carole James, the party wouldn’t be able to hold a leadership convention until 2012 at the earliest.

By that time, the next B.C. Liberal leader will have probably already called an election.

Campbell’s decision to resign today has likely guaranteed that his successor will be running against James, who has lost two provincial elections as leader.

The last B.C. NDP leader to lose three consecutive elections was Dave Barrett in 1975, 1979, and 1983.

With James registering a mere 27 percent approval rating in an Angus Reid Strategies poll last month, things are looking up for the B.C. Liberals.

Follow Charlie Smith on Twitter at twitter.com/csmithstraight.

Comments (30) Add New Comment
sianara
I will never vote for her.
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hornet
How about Elizabeth May, instead?
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jbc
Carole James will bring honesty back into politics
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Jeffrey
Carol James should step aside and let someone with a chance of winning lead the party. I prefer to vote NDP but since Harcourt resigned they have had a total lack of credible leadership. It would be great if there was actually someone who had leadership qualities and a soul who would run for party leader.
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Evil Eye
Sorry Charlie, I think gordo's resignation will mean, if James hangs on, the barnacle she is, she will loose the next election.

It is time for her to go. Gordo has set the example.
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Mike Summers
How about BC Refed instead? Will they give control of politicians to voters like Mike Harcourt and the NDP of the day were supposed to after the voters voted over 80% for recall and 80% for binding referendums (if the Socreds had been returned to power) ? Treasonous acts by the NDP and every successive government after them.
Google Refed and see.
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Strong New Democrat
All the comments aimed at undermining Carole James are a waste of time. Carole has been actively travelling BC not just talking but LISTENING to British Columbians. She is not a flamboyant character, therefore she is not SCARY! We need a strong and steady (read calm & prepared) hand on the tiller of this province. She has the support of her members and is busy building the party. Any efforts (from inside or outside the party) to undermine the New Democrats at this time is just a classic case of knee jerk panic. It is always easier to be in Opposition than it is governing. Carole James has been preparing to govern and her time is just around the corner. At this point anyone with a Brain & a Heart could do better than the BC Lieberals, let alone someone who has been getting ready to take on this challenging position. It is time to quit listening to the naysayers and stand up and support Carole James! I do!
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KD
Carole James is totally competent to run the province. She is well versed in provincial politics, is dedicated to the well-being of the province and is as honest as they come. Her downfall is the fact that she lacks charisma which, sadly, is something the voting public feels is necessary in a Premier.
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Go Green!
Political party leaders are more show than substance. Sure they get elected based on supposed principles but when they get elected, reality sets in and they can't do whatever they want, (Oooh-bahma, is a good example). If you don’t have a degree in engineering, law or medicine, don’t go into politics, you aren’t smart enough to represent the ones who do.

Another term of Liberals can't be tolerated. If you keep any party in power for too long, corruption and complacency naturally takes over things. The NDP are hopeless losers pandering to do-nothings who want the government to do everything for them while they have others who don't vote NDP pay the bills, no thanks.

So by process of elimination you have the Green party, left. Go Elizabeth! Vote Green, be smart, what do we have to lose? What is wrong with cleaner air and fewer $%@#$% head egotistical politicians looking for the next camera shoot, anyhow?

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Strong New Democrat
Just because you repeat the lies about the NDP record doesn't make them true. Funny how you think raising fears based on lies is scarier than the dismantling of this province under the BC Lieberals. Campbell and his Caucus (yes all of them are equally guilty) disregarded legal contracts - against the law, shall we mention Gordo's 48.1% personal pay hike and the 29% for MLA's in '07? while the rest of us lost buying power?, they closed 24 of the provinces 68 Courthouses and closed 85% of the legal aid offices in BC making it even harder to find Justice in this province especially for rural BCers, continueally lied to us i.e. No On-line Gaming No BC Rail Sale, No HST and then whoops! guess what we got as soon as everyone fell for the BC Lieberal lies and the election was over?, they lowered taxes for their rich friends thus making the rest of us middleclass and working por pay for the share of the rich, closed 176 schools showing their complete disregard for the futures of BC children,destroyed Senior Care throughout the province - SHAME!, pulled $16 million in student loans right out from under these young people as they were leaving for university once again trying to finance the shortfalls of this province off of the backs of working families,they have brought cuts to every service &/or program designed to actually help all of us while spending our money to help foriegn and other large corporations share our wealth with their offshore shareholders, perpetrated environmental damage at an alarming rate whether talking about support for polluters, fish farms destroying wild stocks or the giving away of our rivers, shall we talk about the closures of over 50 sawmills in the province because the BC Lieberals decided to remove the links of local lumber to local communities thus destroying small town British Columbia economies right across this province - this killed more small businesses than you can imagine, thousands and thousands of Forestry jobs - gone under this regime and not as a result of the global meltdown, but as a direct result of the BC lieberals efforts to push forward their own agenda, another election promise broken allowing the export of raw logs after promising otherwise!, now we get to pay $6 milliion to cover up the illegal actions taken throughout the BC Railgate Scandal, it is one thing to cover it up through multiple provincial elections but now we have to pay the legal costs of their hacks in order to shut them up, keeping the truth from us taxPAYERS? This is adding insult to injury! Give your heads a shake and embrace a new day of properity, honour and justice by voting Carole James into the Premiers office and letting things settle down to some calm and stability in this province. It is good for business!
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Matt D.
I think the last two commentators are probably part of the NDP bureaucracy, which has led this party to defeat after defeat. The vast majority of NDP supporters I've spoken to think Carole James has to go if we have any chance of winning the next election. Not only does she lack charisma or any ability to communicate or connect with the public but she's also taken this party on a dangerous right-wing turn that is alienating all the rank-and-file members. This is shown by the dismal turnout of volunteers for the last election. Instead of going after working class voters and designing policies that connect with ordinary people she’s been busy courting the business community that will reject her every time. Though were ahead in the polls right now I have no doubt if anyone can blow this lead it's Carole James.
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Eric W
I voted for Gordon Campbell and would do so again Carole James in her first election bid offered to scrap the carbon tax increase spending all around and cut taxes. that sounds like a fantasy to me you can't increase spending and cut your budget with which you spend. and in her second bid she was talking about diversifying cabinet by FORCING certain seats to be held by people of certain origins and gender and sexuality but didn't explain the process to assure quality (ex. riding a must have a woman is that woman chosen from all the women in the province or just that riding? what if in that riding there was a very good Asian male politician that couldn't run in riding B slotted for an Asian MLA and the woman in riding A wasn't qualified or the best candidate in the riding) she didn't talk about making sure the people could do the job but rather talked about slotting people of different ethnicity and backgrounds which wasn't a bad idea cause it would give the province a more accurate voice but she didn't spell out the criteria for hiring or quality assurance at all. Given the severance packages and pay scale our government workers make that could spell paying for incompetence. I also feel she pushes to hard on criticism of liberal policies rather than proactive problem solutions that add up, work and are well thought through before purporting them to the public.
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Strong New Democrat
Hey Matt D - can only speak for myself - not part of the bureaucracy just observant. Your comment doesn't speak to the issues. The naysayers against Carole are either spewing inaccurate information or they are dissing her "because", no real explanation. This tells me there is a real fear that if someone calm and steady becomes Premier it might be hard to get them out. The dismal volunteer turnout was experienced by every party not just the NDP. It reflects our culture which finds it easier to dismiss anything and everything rather than step up and take some responsibility for being the change. We have had enough charisma! I want a solid and honest Premier - haven't seen one like that since Mike Harcourt. We need some stability in this province, not more slapstick hyginx or complete sell outs like we have seen over the last 10 years. I have been a business owner for nearly 30 years and I don't mind paying my fair share of the taxes, but enough is enough. Campbell sells us and our assets out to the highest bidder leaving us with more debt! I can't wrap my head around the folks who think he is a good manager. The story on the shadow tolls on the Sea to Sky Highway really shook me. That one slipped by and now I find we get to pay the contractors for every vehicle over the next 25 years? That is not good management that is leaving our children in debt!
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Georgina
Time for a Reality Check, big time. No federal legislation will overturn a provincial matter for a fixed election date. It's not as though the BC Liberal Party's new leader will be itching for an election, so chances are the election will happen as scheduled and not before.

That gives the BC NDP about 2 1/2 years to dump its current leader and find one with a smidgeon of charisma, not to mention economic aptitude. Carole James is the reason the BC NDP lost the last election and will lose the next, if they stick with her.
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eastvanman
There is a leadership vacuum in BC politics, enough of that allows someone like Bill VZ to come out of retirement and steal the show for a few months.

The three major parties have weak leadership and a coup of some sort is afoot....
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Andre
there is a major difference between the Carol James and
former BC NDP leader Dave Barrett in the 70s and 80s
in that 1st time Dave Barrett lost he was leading a government
that and alienated the unions with back to work legislation
Carol James was leading a party almost out of the wilderness to a political come back no one expected the NDP to form government under Carol James in 2005
they did very well to gain over 30 seats. The only reason
Gordon Campbell won a 3rd term is cause the people had been misled not only by the liberals but by the association of
independent home builders of BC
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Emil
If james and the NDP win the next election because of lack of leadership on the right( i.e.) we will really be in for another fiasco. We have seen it twice before and it would happen again. NPD could not run a shoeshine or lemonade stand ,,, let alone a government.
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glen p robbins
In my opinion, Carole should wear her hair - at this length, and not the shorter look.
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three times lucky
Somebody please get Delany off his ass to split the vote on the right and it will not matter who the steelworkers have at the helm of their party to sell out traditional new democrat values whilst carrying out the enemies agenda.

Ya know "Change you can believe in" and all that.
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RAH
There is only one comment in here that makes any case -- based on actual facts -- against Carol James. Most of the crap is just, "oh no I'd never vote for her." Why? She seems articulate and damn honest. At a time when she could have said, "I will scrap the HST as soon as I'm elected," she didn't. She honestly said it will be a mess to try to undo the thing. That's not what I wanted to hear, but at least we're getting a politician who speaks the truth.

People who refuse to vote for Carol James or the NDP because of their feelings are the kind of morons who don't hold people like Campbell accountable. Where were you when he lied about selling BC Rail? Where were you when he lied about not expanding gambling? Where were you when a corruption scandal was exploding around you? You put your hands over your ears to the truth and shut your eyes to an alternative government because of your emotional ideology. This mess is all your fault. You let Gordon Campbell and the Liberals get away with a lot of bullshit. And what'll happen when they change the face but not the lack of ethics in this party? You'll vote for them again. Too bad the rest of us have to live with your blind adherence to the Capatalist faith.
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