Premier Gordon Campbell's resignation guarantees Carole James will lead NDP in next election
Premier Gordon Campbell’s sudden resignation today (November 3) caught most British Columbians by surprise.
That’s because just last week, he shook up his cabinet. And he delivered a rare provincewide televised address, in which he announced a 15-percent cut in personal income taxes and left an impression that he wasn’t going to quit.
But something happened over the past few days to turn those plans upside down. It could have been another poll. Maybe he knew his caucus was going to tell him to take a hike.
One thing is clear: the next B.C. election will likely take place well before 2013.
There are two reasons for this. The first is that the next leader of the B.C. Liberal party will be chosen within the next seven months.
It’s unlikely that this person will sit as premier for almost two years without a mandate from the electorate.
But wait. Didn’t the B.C. Liberals under Campbell’s leadership introduce fixed-election dates, which means the next voting day is scheduled for May 14, 2013?
They certainly did. However, the effect of that law was put in doubt by a Federal Court of Appeal ruling last May.
Three justices unanimously ruled that the federal fixed-election law did not preclude Prime Minister Stephen Harper from calling a snap election in 2008.
According to the Ottawa-based public-interest group Democracy Watch, which lost the case, the ruling “effectively cancelled” B.C.’s fixed-election law and similar laws in other provinces.
The coast appears to be clear for the next B.C. Liberal leader to call a snap election well ahead of May 14, 2013.
Meanwhile, the B.C. NDP won’t hold a leadership vote until its November 2011 convention.
If NDP delegates give the thumbs down to Leader Carole James, the party wouldn’t be able to hold a leadership convention until 2012 at the earliest.
By that time, the next B.C. Liberal leader will have probably already called an election.
Campbell’s decision to resign today has likely guaranteed that his successor will be running against James, who has lost two provincial elections as leader.
The last B.C. NDP leader to lose three consecutive elections was Dave Barrett in 1975, 1979, and 1983.
With James registering a mere 27 percent approval rating in an Angus Reid Strategies poll last month, things are looking up for the B.C. Liberals.
Follow Charlie Smith on Twitter at twitter.com/csmithstraight.





It is time for her to go. Gordo has set the example.
Google Refed and see.
Another term of Liberals can't be tolerated. If you keep any party in power for too long, corruption and complacency naturally takes over things. The NDP are hopeless losers pandering to do-nothings who want the government to do everything for them while they have others who don't vote NDP pay the bills, no thanks.
So by process of elimination you have the Green party, left. Go Elizabeth! Vote Green, be smart, what do we have to lose? What is wrong with cleaner air and fewer $%@#$% head egotistical politicians looking for the next camera shoot, anyhow?
That gives the BC NDP about 2 1/2 years to dump its current leader and find one with a smidgeon of charisma, not to mention economic aptitude. Carole James is the reason the BC NDP lost the last election and will lose the next, if they stick with her.
The three major parties have weak leadership and a coup of some sort is afoot....
former BC NDP leader Dave Barrett in the 70s and 80s
in that 1st time Dave Barrett lost he was leading a government
that and alienated the unions with back to work legislation
Carol James was leading a party almost out of the wilderness to a political come back no one expected the NDP to form government under Carol James in 2005
they did very well to gain over 30 seats. The only reason
Gordon Campbell won a 3rd term is cause the people had been misled not only by the liberals but by the association of
independent home builders of BC
Ya know "Change you can believe in" and all that.
People who refuse to vote for Carol James or the NDP because of their feelings are the kind of morons who don't hold people like Campbell accountable. Where were you when he lied about selling BC Rail? Where were you when he lied about not expanding gambling? Where were you when a corruption scandal was exploding around you? You put your hands over your ears to the truth and shut your eyes to an alternative government because of your emotional ideology. This mess is all your fault. You let Gordon Campbell and the Liberals get away with a lot of bullshit. And what'll happen when they change the face but not the lack of ethics in this party? You'll vote for them again. Too bad the rest of us have to live with your blind adherence to the Capatalist faith.
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