Real action on climate change is needed now in B.C. and at Copenhagen

“Humanity is now between a tipping point and a point of no return, and only the most strenuous efforts on our part are capable of returning us to safe ground.”
— Tim Flannery

Saturday (October 24) is an international day of action on climate change. We are close to if not over tipping points to what could become humanity-threatening runaway climate change. There is a meeting in Copenhagen in December to forge a global action plan—but what action should we be taking?

What action should we be taking today to help forge an effective global plan? And what action do we have to take globally at Copenhagen so as to not go over the tipping point of a melting Arctic ice cap or methane-producing melting permafrost or a drying Amazon?

The short answer would be to finally stop procrastinating and begin substantive emission reduction. But the powers that be and even many who recognize the danger are advocating puny carbon taxes or weak and leaky cap and trade plans. They are advocating green energy, changing your light bulbs (and politicians), riding a bike, clean coal, and electric cars. These are crackhead answers from carbon addicts who remain in denial about the degree of danger and the urgency of substantive emission reduction. Many advocating action today and at Copenhagen are carbon addicts who are lying to themselves about what scale of action is really needed.

At the other end of the spectrum of possible action are those who think the only solution is to work for the collapse of industrial civilization. Climate change is but one of the dangerous symptoms caused by humanity as a cancer that is killing the planet. But how do you work for the collapse of industrial civilization? And what about the implicit die-off of most of humanity? And how do you accomplish this cancer operation immediately so that continuing emissions don’t take us past those tipping points—there are carbon cycle time lags—or only manage to eradicate the cancer in part of the globe so that collapse is but a descent into war and chaos with climate change still a danger?

We can’t go back easily to a hunter-gatherer population of just millions living in a pristine world. Even if we wanted to. Even if that was the only solution to climate change and biodiversity loss and peak oil and all of the other “bottleneck” problems caused by exponentially increasing populations armed with potent technologies.

We must instead head for a future where humanity isn’t a cancer threatening all life on Earth. If such a future is possible.

We can’t evolve past being dissipative life forms and we can’t escape being human, but we can mature past being ignorantly destructive. Today six billion people live with negligible impact or greenhouse gas emissions while 750 million people are driving and flying and otherwise consuming us to extinction.

The action that is needed at Copenhagen is a profound change of direction. We need agreement on moving to a radically different vision of humanity on this Earth. We need agreement on managing humanity so that our actions today don’t threaten the future of life on Earth, don’t threaten our future. We need agreement on an immediate transition from economies based upon a growth imperative to powering down to relocalized economies with quality lifestyles. We must leave behind the present throughput economies, which use prodigious amounts of energy to produce prodigious amounts of waste.

We need action to unblock so that having a future becomes possible at Copenhagen. We must head off the political zombies who will settle for a weak and leaky treaty that will be as ineffectual and time wasting as Kyoto. We can’t lie to ourselves any more and stay in denial and stay within business as usual—if we do humanity and most life of Earth is toast. What is needed is systemic change, globally and in each nation, province, city, and community subsection, down to each of our individual lives.

The action we must take today is to demand real change, systemic change. We must demand a rapid reconfiguration of our societies and economies. We must get to a post-industrial society fast, within decades, with immediate substantial emission reduction. We must win the capacity to change and to leave fossil fuels in the ground till they can be used without emissions.

Today, those of us in B.C. can force our government to send a signal that we can change, that we can accept climate change as an emergency requiring systemic change. We can force our premier (who must know that climate change is this emergency) to set an example for the world by cancelling the 2010 Winter Olympics.

We cannot settle for addict lies like clean coal or cap and trade with offsets or even Being the Change—it’s too late for half measures. It’s too late for wishful thinking about the collapse of industrial civilization—more addict nonsense. We need urgent action commensurate with the danger from climate change, and action begins, for us, in forcing our government to do what it must do so that we can achieve a real deal at Copenhagen.

Cancelling the Olympics is the perfect act of recognizing what scale of change is needed and possible. Cancelling the Olympics tells the world: Yes, we can change. Yes, we can do what we need to do to have a future.

Bill Henderson is an activist who lives in Gibsons.

Comments

4 Comments

seth

Oct 24, 2009 at 2:30am

Once again Bill we have the answer. Its the one that some of the greatest environmentalists of our time Stuart " Whole Earth Catalog" Brand and James "Gaia" Lovelock are recommending . A complete transition from fossil fuels to nuclear power.

Measures such environmentally destructive wind, run of river, and dam projects and silly carbon taxes/cap n'trade schemes are really just fiddling while Rome burns.

Germany has already wasted 10 years and $100 billion dollars in treasure on the above technologies and has not reduced its greenhouse emissions one iota. In fact it is planning a massive build of dirty coal plants to meet its baseload power requirements.

Fossil fuels cause $25 billion or so in other environmental damage (dirt,soot,engine damage,paint, health care) and run up an $80 billion annual direct bill. Even global warming deniers can see the benefit of eliminating Canada's fossil fuel use.

For the rest of us science is now showing us that we are a little as ten years away from a civilization destroying climate/peak oil crisis making solution urgent.

A world war scale effort converting from fossil fuels to mass produced nuclear power paid for by very quickly ending domestic use of fossil fuels is the win win solution even the deniers could accept. Depending on the amount of nuclear steam heating (small towns, tar sands, cogen), Canada would need to build between 150 and 250 gigawatts of mass produced nuclear power at $1000 a gigawatt with payback periods as little as two years for the average plant converted. All that is required is the political will.

As electric car usage slowly builds, BC's vehicles could be fueled by BC's abundant supplies of cheap natural gas. Using Utah's example, natural gas as a vehicle fuel could be made available as of yesterday at less than 30 cents a liter equivalent. As fossil fuel conversion advances more and more natural gas for use as vehicle fuel would become available.

With mass production of Atomic Energy Canada's proposed ACR-1000, an enormous job boosting domestic and export market would be created.

So far, Canwest/Gordo has committed us to spending $45 billion producing 1 gigawatt baseload equivalent of intermittent run of river and wind power worth maybe $7 billion on the current springtime spot market, doubling our power rates to pay for it. The power will be worthless in a little as ten years with new nuclear fusion and nuclear waste burning Gen IV reactors coming on line. Ontario was recently quoted $2 billion a gigawatt for baseload nuclear on a onetime reactor build – 5% of Canwest/Gordo's pirate power contracts.

Unfortunately, Gordo is bedded down with Pirate Power board of director appointments to party hacks and massive campaign donations. Harpo with his apocalyptic religious views and Big Oil/Coal campaign donation base refuses to consider climate/pollution abatement, support AECL, nuclear or any other Canadian technology.

Sadly. as the solution is simple.

"..if the US government could mobilize their entire industrial capacity in 6 months in facing the reality of WWII, they (and the world) can easily do the same for the imminent threat of global warming.." Leonardo DiCaprio
seth

Chris Brown

Oct 24, 2009 at 4:26am

IPCC models ignore other pressures, described by Bruntland and Limits to Growth. They ignore behavioural science, such as what 100 rats do when living in a cage made for 10. IPCC models do not include the reliable trend that every new prediction will bring new, exponentially worse, information. Limits to Growth, in 1972, stated “Because of the delays in the system, if the global society waits until those constraints are unmistakably apparent, it will have waited too long.” Surely the tipping point is not a future conjunction of facts in a limited definition of “environmental science,” but rather a social milestone we passed decades ago. We need to be preparing ourselves for billions of deaths, hundreds of millions of refugees, wars, cannibalism, and worse. For references, see http://pttp.ca

Goldorak

Oct 24, 2009 at 8:16am

An activist with little knowledge of climatology...

Maximus

Oct 24, 2009 at 9:47pm

Mankind is like a leaf in the wind of our own greed. Any feedback by the Earth to reduce human greed is viewed merely as a headwind to fight against. If there were only 10 gallons of fuel left, someone would pour it into a Nascar and blast around a track at 180 mph until the fuel ran out. There is no ability at this consciousness level to moderate deep seeded desires to dominate and control at any cost, even our own demise. Like a monkey snorting coke, we grab at whatever we can get our opposable thumbs on. Sure, its disgusting from an intellectual standpoint, but very predictable from a lizard brain instinctual response aspect. All we can do is ride the steel blade of descent with everyone else. Tally ho!