Mayor Gregor Robertson and Vision Vancouver have good reasons to feel confident about next election

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      It's easy to get cynical watching local politics in Vancouver.

      And the man on the receiving end of some of the voters' contempt and derision is Mayor Gregor Robertson.

      There are homeowners who don't like the pace of development, particularly when it means more multifamily units in their neighbourhoods.

      If these projects drive up surrounding land values, that leads to higher taxes. Plus, they can result in more traffic, overcrowded community centres and libraries, and longer waits for transit.

      Then there are those noisy activists in the Downtown Eastside, who are irate over any displacement of the poor.

      Urban areas created before the Second World War have become prized destinations for aging baby boomers, who don't want to get in their cars every time they need a litre of milk.

      These aging boomers recognize that cities—with their film festivals and wide selection of restaurants—are far more interesting than those rows of single-family homes in municipalities like Richmond and Port Moody.

      They want to move in, and the antipoverty campaigners go berserk.

      Urban, walkable neighbourhoods with short city blocks are also highly desirable for upscale younger people.

      Many of the Generation X and Y set, as well as the millennials, loathed growing up in the suburbs.

      Younger folks don't drive nearly as much as older generations, according to driver's-licence statistics from across North America. And if they can't afford to live downtown, their next choice is near a rapid-transit stop, so they can easily make it into the urban core.

      Controversial projects such as the Rize tower in Mount Pleasant, Marine Gateway near the Fraser River, and the massive redevelopment of the Oakridge mall are simply meeting this market demand.

      Those who fight these rezonings face not only an intransigent Vision Vancouver council, but also inexorable market forces.

      That's why community activists will likely keep losing as long as Robertson remains mayor.

      Hence, the cynicism, which was reflected in recent articles by two City Hall watchers, Jeff Lee of the Vancouver Sun and Allen Garr of the Vancouver CourierBoth veteran journalists zeroed in on opposition in various neighbourhoods. Lee also pointed to Robertson's sliding approval rating in a Justason Market Intelligence poll.

      These columns have raised the spectre whether or not the mayor and his party might be out of touch with Vancouver voters.

      Don't believe it for a second.

      Vision Vancouver's political machine is too well-entrenched and too well-financed to be cast aside by some neighbourhood activists whose votes will splinter between several parties.

      As for that Justasen poll, Vision is still clobbering its opponents across the city. Plus, Vision has the advantage of years of collecting information on voting patterns, so nobody can match it in terms of getting its supporters out to the polls.

      It doesn't even matter how well Robertson is polling on his own; the real issue is how he would fare against an identified opponent. And so far, there isn't one.

      Besides that, who trusts polls anymore anyway, given what we saw in the last provincial election?

      Vision understands a diversity of communities

      Keep in mind that Vancouver is so much more than a group of disparate neighbourhoods.

      It's also a collection of ethnicities, sexual orientations and genders, occupations, areas of interest, religious backgrounds, and language groups.

      Community means many things in our city.

      There are geographic communities. It's true that some of those living in the West End, Mount Pleasant, and Marpole are upset with Vision Vancouver.

      But Vision has also been planting its seeds in different communities, including those who trace their roots back to Taiwan, the Philippines, South Asia, and mainland China.

      Councillors Raymond Louie, Kerry Jang, Tony Tang, and Andrea Reimer, and park commissioners Constance Barnes and Niki Sharma have been at the forefront of these efforts.

      The mayor's office has benefited from the wisdom of one of Robertson's aides, Lara Honrado, who's a specialist in diversity issues.

      Another Vision politician, Heather Deal, has been an ambassador to the arts community. The city has never before held so many major cultural events on city property, including the Khatsahlano Music & Arts Festival on West 4th Avenue, jazz events at David Lam Park, and concerts in Stanley Park. These are all vote getters.

      Vision's Geoff Meggs has performed a similar role with organized labour.

      Then there are all those cyclists who appreciate Vision's efforts to expand grade-separated bike lanes. The cynics will refer to this as boutique environmentalism, but it has branded Vision as a progressive party in the minds of some.

      Meanwhile, the rainbow-coloured sidewalk on Davie Street and the Pride parade's civic status reflect how Vision Coun. Tim Stevenson has supported the LGBT community.

      Vision partners with universities

      Keep in mind that Vision has also worked closely with UBC and SFU, which are two of the city's most important economic engines.

      UBC was looking for an ally to lobby for rapid transit to the Point Grey campus. Robertson and Meggs stepped up to do this.

      SFU wanted support in its effort to become the most engaged research university in Canada. The city, under Vision's leadership, has offered numerous opportunities for SFU students to get involved in doing this.

      The city also partnered with SFU on its first community summit, which was of vital importance to the president, Andrew Petter.

      In addition, Robertson has gone out of his way to bring high-tech and environmentally friendly businesses under the broad Vision tent.

      Today, he's in New York City at the invitation of Mayor Michael Bloomberg to participate in a glitzy conference called CityLab: Urban Solutions to Global Challenges.

      He's the only Canadian mayor at the event, which was organized by the Atlantic, the Aspen Institute, and Bloomberg Philanthropies.

      Many of North America's urban hotshots will be there, such as author and cultural-economy advocate Richard Florida, as well as former vice president Al Gore.

      Robertson's presence among this crowd reminds me of how a former mayor, Gordon Campbell, used to create distance between himself and his opponents by getting photographed with famous international figures.

      It was a way for Campbell to enlarge his stature and diminish his opponents in the eyes of voters.

      Robertson sometimes doesn't seem like a very passionate mayor, except when it comes to trying to lure environmentally friendly businesses to Vancouver. His presence at the CityLab conference is another manifestation of this.

      When you look at how far Vision has extended its tentacles across the spectrum of Vancouver communities, it's difficult to see how it could lose control of city hall in 2014.

      Of course, there's always a chance of a major unexpected scandal or a massive economic implosion (which helped seal the NPA's fate in 2008). But for now, the Vision machine won't easily be shoved aside.

      In the meantime, don't be convinced by placard-bearing activists converging on Vancouver City Hall. They like to portray Vision as the developers' party, but that only tells part of the story. 

      Members of many of the communities mentioned above—such as cyclists, artists, gays and lesbians, and people of colour—also feel pretty good about their mayor.

      That's why you're not seeing any political heavyweights rushing forward to challenge him with only a year to go before the next election.

      Comments

      33 Comments

      Monet

      Oct 6, 2013 at 1:45pm

      Who in the arts likes Vision Vancouver except for the groups that get grants from the city?

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      Nelson100

      Oct 6, 2013 at 2:32pm

      There is a significant majority in Vancouver who are weary of Vision. They accept density but are weary of being labelled NIMBY's because they want a say in their neighbourhood. They are weary of sham public hearings with predetermined outcomes. They are weary of developer giveaways being marketed as green and progressive, when they are anything but. They are weary of watching the heart of our city be gutted and bulldozed, from the Ridge Theater to St. John's Church. They are weary of being treated as the enemy by the same public officials who are supposed to be representing and serving them. They are very concerned with Vision's close relationships with the development community.

      If this majority does not unite and instead votes for a splintered opposition, Vision will undoubtedly return, as happened in the last election. However if the opposition unifies quickly enough to offer a single appealing alternative to the Vision/NPA/developer machine we might well have a municipal revolution. Polls based on a city where only 20% turn out are not accurate predictors of the future. Angry people vote, and a well organized opposition that turned a 20% turnout into 30% could change all the rules. Here's hoping that happens, because if it doesn't we'll probably be watching luxury condo towers going up in Stanley Park.

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      NoVision

      Oct 6, 2013 at 3:31pm

      Vision has been one of the worst things ever to happen to Vancouver. The disregard for automobile commuters in order to appease some bike enthusiasts will be one of their worst legacies and marks on the city. With the population expanding rapidly in the lower mainland, the lack of long term vision on how to handle it in regards to transportation infrastructure will cripple the city even more than it already is. By the time the city workers finish a project, there already is a need for a new one because the last one took too long. Get these self serving idiots out of power!

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      Irony and Duped Voters

      Oct 6, 2013 at 4:00pm

      The irony here is the Mayor moved his business (Happy Planet Juices) out of Vancouver years ago never to return.

      He is also a very rich businessman with little in common to the average working or poor Voter.

      Yet Voters a continually duped into voting for the rich who represent Corporate interests above the interests of the average Citizen or Voter.

      We saw this in the Federal, than the Provincial and now at the Municipal level.

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      Wankoover

      Oct 6, 2013 at 4:33pm

      I'd suggest Charlie Smith needs to do a better job reporting - the simplistic caricatures of why people are protesting (either irate homeowners or noisy DTES poverty activists) - does an injustice to the real concerns about a city hell-bent on building towers and appeasing developers but doing very little real progress on ensuring affordable housing.

      This puff piece well do very well for a nice press soundbite on a future Vision Vancouver campaign brochure. Not a high point of actual journalism though. Of course, if you need to ask yourself why the Straight would be rushing to defend the pro-developer party, you only need look to this week's cover, where they have taken to running ads for condo towers on the front page even.

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      Charlie Smith

      Oct 6, 2013 at 5:20pm

      Wankoover,
      Tell me what COPE, the Greens, and Neighbourhoods for a Sustainable Vancouver are doing to really put a dent in Vision's efforts to woo new Canadians.

      What is their strategy?

      Once you can answer this question, then we can have a serious conversation about whether or not Vision will be dethroned in 2014.

      There's an alliance of federal Liberals and New Democrats who are running the show right now. I don't see a splintered left and a splintered right doing much to change that in the next year.

      Charlie Smith

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      Wankoover

      Oct 6, 2013 at 6:00pm

      Charlie Smith,

      Funny, that's the first you even mentioned of opposition parties.. And that's the rub, this article doesn't touch on what the opposition are doing - instead you've written pretty much only what Vision are doing, and largely with the same kind of spin we've come to expect from Magee, Quinlan, Vdovine, et al. And the lack of insight you provide into why communities are upset, you're practically outright dismissive of them.. that's what is so disappointing about this article.

      You argue that Vision aren't out of touch with the voters, I'd argue that manipulating voters is not the same as being in touch with the voters.. Rainbow crosswalks? Street Parties? Multicultural festival photo-ops? Panem et circenses, my friend.

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      RUK

      Oct 6, 2013 at 6:22pm

      Good editorial, because it is easier to take shots than to point out that the incumbent is incumbent for a reason.

      Holding Vision's feet to the fire is an excellent, necessary journalistic task, of course, and I don't like landslide results on principle, but the NPA, COPE, and everyone else (Vancouver Cedar Neighbourhoods First, based on the novel "Push" by Sapphire) have a lot of work to do.

      Me, I ride bikes, I like the idea of green initiatives, and I recognize that the city has few ways of paying for anything (and has a balanced budget law) other than approving development and getting amenities in return.

      I listen to the critics on the left, because that is where the best critics tend to be - they certainly don't ever govern - but realistically they have to ask themselves how they can overcome the stigma of never having built any products, whereas Mayor McHappyJuice cofounded a million-dollar bidness, thus giving him credibility with the ordinary voter that pure socialists just cannot have.

      As for the voting block of new Canadians, of course they are out there and sure they can conceivably flood the polls, but I cannot see people from China or India voting in a way that is hostile to business - hostility to business is an educated white people thing.

      Arthur Vandelay

      Oct 6, 2013 at 7:12pm

      Ask the average Vancouverite if the Mayor and his party are allowing too much density in Vancouver and they will shake their heads or just say no. They know Vision for bike routes, insite, etc. Unless you are in the direct shadow of one of these rezoned buildings, this issue is barely on the radar screen. If anything, more likely you think it's a good thing through higher property values. Witness the less than 200 people who showed up at city hall mid last month for the great protest. Most people recognize that there is great demand to live in one of the world's most desirable cities and that building upwards, not outwards, is inevitable and even welcomed.

      Those few NIMBY's who think the development issue will resonate with the average voter have allowed their own white hot rage to cloud their Vision.

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      Alan Layton

      Oct 6, 2013 at 7:25pm

      Good article.

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