Is Canada prepared for climate refugees?

The winds, at more than 150 kilometres per hour, flattened almost all the homes, leaving bodies washed as far as 90 kilometres from the coast. Rice fields were destroyed, thousands died, many more were displaced, and, ever since, the soil has been saturated with salt.

“The tsunami that devastated the region in 1988 was the trigger,’’ Donatien Garnier wrote in 2010’s Climate Refugees about the disaster that struck southwestern Bangladesh 25 years ago. “Salt contamination has been increasing since that time due to rising sea levels and reduced river flow during the dry season.…With saltwater penetrating further inland and deeper into the groundwater, global warming is gradually poisoning the population and destroying rice farming and jobs.’’

In Munshiganj, a 12-hour bus ride from the capital, Dhaka, people now take a boat across a river to drink uncontaminated water. Shrimp farms, employing few people, replace robust crops. People increasingly turn to fishing and hunting to survive, putting pressure on the stock of shrimp and fish hatchlings. This, in turn, drives others into the Sundarbans, a massive mangrove forest pressed against the Bay of Bengal and lying across both Bangladesh and India. The overexploitation of this UNESCO World Heritage Site is, consequently, having an impact on the biodiversity upon which thousands, directly or not, depend.

Among other drivers, the reality of a changing environment triggered by climate change is putting people in Bangladesh on the move. “In Bangladesh, the estimate is that 30 to 50 million people will be displaced by rising sea level by 2050,’’ Mohammad Zaman, the executive director of the Vancouver-based Society for Bangladesh Climate Justice (SBCJ), says in a phone interview with the Georgia Straight.

“The crisis has already started,’’ the social-sector specialist continues, pointing out that people are being displaced every day. On October 24, Zaman—who works as a consultant for the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank—and his organization held an event at the University of British Columbia’s Liu Institute for Global Issues to address the issue facing Bangladesh, situating it within the global phenomenon of climate migration.

Extreme weather events like Typhoon Haiyan, the global reduction of fish stocks and staples such as rice and wheat, rocketing food prices that trigger unrest and social instability, disputes over dwindling water reserves—all these developments are putting pressure on people to migrate.

“If you’re looking 50 years from now, that’s when the real impacts of sea-level rise start to manifest,’’ Robert McLeman, professor of geography at Wilfrid Laurier University, says during a phone interview with the Straight. “That’s when food supplies start to become under threat because of all these changes we’re making to climate systems.’’

McLeman is the author of the just-published Climate and Human Migration: Past Experiences, Future Challenges (Cambridge University Press). “We’ll get these large populations in places like Vietnam, coastal China, and Bangladesh, where you’d have tens of millions of people living within a few metres of sea level, and that’s where we’ll see very large-scale displacement.’’

People in Canada are also being displaced because of climate change. ‘‘In the North, we’ve seen erosion of coastal shorelines because of decreasing sea ice—which is a natural protector for shorelines against erosion by waves,’’ says Cheryl Schreader, a Capilano University geography professor, in a phone interview. “People in Tuktoyaktuk were talking about having to relocate part of their town because they’re located right on the coast. They were talking about having to move their spiritual sites and their graveyards because of these changes.’’

Exactly how many people will migrate globally is difficult to conclude in light of the many factors to consider. A 2009 report by the International Organization for Migration estimates that there will be between 200 million and 1 billion migrants due to climate change by 2050.

How such migrants will be received is even more difficult to conclude—but there are some telling signs.

“Bangladesh is bordered with Burma and India, and many displaced people have moved across these borders. In response, India has developed a long fence along Bangladesh to stop migrants,’’ the SBCJ’s Zaman says about the 2.5-metre-high structure—called the “wall of death’’ by locals—along the length of India’s 3,000-kilometre border with Bangladesh.

In 2011, the signatories to the UN Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees failed to tackle the reality of climate migration, and Canada neglected to sign up for the 2012 Nansen Initiative (launched by Norway and Switzerland), which is set to publish a report in 2015 providing recommendations on the issue.

“There are these countries in the West which aren’t really doing anything in terms of international agreements,’’ Cap U’s Schreader says. ‘‘I don’t see Canada playing a lead role in the status of climate migrants.’’

Stephanie Gatto is the lead author of a Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives report to be published early next year titled Starting the Conversation—Preparing B.C. for Climate Migration: An Uncertain Climate for Migration and Settlement. “With respect to climate migration, our current immigration and refugee policies and practices are not designed to accommodate the role of climate change and its impact on migration,’’ Gatto says.

“There are categories of refugees that are denied coverage for vision care, dental care, and prescription drugs,’’ Gatto notes. “Some of these people are fleeing exceptionally awful circumstances only to come to a country that won’t afford them coverage for the most basic needs. It’s a reflection of how our society’s prepared to treat the most vulnerable.’’

In 2010, the Canadian government passed the Preventing Human Smugglers From Abusing Canada’s Immigration System Act, dramatically changing our asylum system and establishing the practice of indefinite detentions of migrants. In the past year, almost 10,000 people have been put in administrative detention while the state considers their case. The average length of their stay is 25 days, but some are detained for years.

As of November 8 of this year, 585 people who had unsuccessfully applied for refugee status, or who did not have documentation, were being held in Canadian immigration cells. Sixty of them had been languishing for more than a year in a country that is one of the few western states to impose indefinite detentions on migrants.

In Maple Ridge, at the Fraser Regional Correctional Centre, asylum seekers are settled among criminals. They wear prison uniforms, and because guards in our province’s prisons don’t know the immigration status of detainees—and B.C. Corrections won’t differentiate between asylum seekers, other migrants, and various detainees—correctional authorities can’t say what proportion of inmates are seeking asylum.

In August 2010, when 492 Sri Lankan Tamil asylum seekers reached B.C.’s shores on the MV Sun Sea, a Thai cargo ship, they were, Gatto says, “generalized as potential terrorists’’ and queue jumpers.

Sara Kendall, a Vancouver community organizer involved with the Mining Justice Alliance, says the Tamils were treated accordingly. “All 492 of them were put in jail immediately, and they were fleeing one of the most violent situations on the planet,’’ Kendall tells the Straight by phone.

All 380 men—teenagers among them—were detained at the Fraser Regional Correctional Centre. The women without children were held at the Alouette Correctional Centre for Women; those with children ended up at the Burnaby Youth Custody Services Centre.

“In terms of seeing how it might get worse, I feel like it’s already bad enough,’’ Kendall says about the treatment of migrants in Canada. “Jailing refugees, criminalizing them, using [them for] our entertainment…on national television—it’s already at that place where we should really be ringing alarm bells.

“It is very conscious,’’ she says of the effort to depict migrants as taking advantage of Canada, which justifies their criminalization and plays a role in feeding them into the temporary-foreign-worker stream rather than the immigration process. “So what I’m seeing as a white Canadian,’’ Kendall says, “is that brown people from all over the world—or Eastern Europeans who are also racialized ‘others’—are unwelcome, with increasingly stricter policies to enforce it, except as cheap labour.’’

Exploring the reasons why some countries might be on this path, U.S. investigative journalist Christian Parenti’s 2011 book, Tropic of Chaos: Climate Change and the New Geography of Violence, makes the case that certain elements in society use the spectre of an influx of migrants to frighten the citizenry. (The Harper government, for instance, helped create, and then capitalized on, the anti-migrant sentiments swelling after the arrival of the Tamil asylum seekers in order to pass the “antismuggling’’ legislation being used to detain people today.)

“[T]he drift toward authoritarianism,’’ Parenti wrote, “has so far been driven less by genuine emergencies and more by the crass political theater of posturing candidates and elected officials.

“Immigrants are the canaries in the political coal mine, and immigration is the vehicle by which the logic of the ‘state of emergency’ is smuggled into everyday life, law, and politics.’’

Greek journalist and poet Constantine P. Cavafy’s 1904 poem “Waiting for the Barbarians’’ echoes this theme of powerful interests disingenuously constructing foreign threats for the purpose of social control and exploitation. The poem depicts a public square with an emperor anxiously awaiting the supposed arrival of barbarians near the main gate, the senators preparing to finally legislate, and consuls wearing “rings sparkling with magnificent emeralds’’.

Nearby, after the travellers fail to appear, one citizen recognizes the meaning of this spectacle.

“They were, those people,’’ the citizen says of the barbarians, “a kind of solution.’’

Comments (19) Add New Comment
Downward spiral of common sense.
Climate Refugees? Do leftists stay up late at night dreaming up this crap?
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Martin Dunphy
Please try reading the article instead of only the headline.
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sigint
The reasons the Tamil's were jailed here were because of the criminal Sri Lankan government who insisted they be imprisoned. Now even China is lecturing Sri Lanka on human rights abuses, and Herr Harper boycotted the Commonwealth's meeting held in Sri Lanka this year because even he can't deny the amount of people disappearing or summary executions that are going on there. Meanwhile our rabid trollish media derped on and on about these people as 'que jumpers' when it was either get on a boat and pay some snakehead to get you out of there or wait for death squads to ethnically cleanse your neighborhood.

In Australia elections are pretty much all about dealing with boats of refugees due to economic strife and persecution, that may soon happen here when climate change sees a flood of ships headed this way when there's no more water to drink and Canada holds all the resources
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John Sankey
In Y2K I estimated an average of 1 million sea-level-rise refugees per year for the next century - by refugee I meant a person who could not move within their own country to escape; it was based on a sea level rise of 60 cm during that time, three times the Y2K rate. I consider the rate quoted here to be on the high side, but the problem is still very real.
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Reflections
It’s a reflection of how our society’s prepared to treat the most vulnerable."

All societies treat the vulnerable this way. There is a very large streak of selfishness and an even large one of fear that can and does drive people to believe and do the meanest of things.

When the effects of climate change really come home to roost, people's behavior will only get worse.
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anon
Current tech & resources do not meet humanitarian needs and no one is volunteering to go bankrupt to help them.

Typically, statistically, a group consensus makes the correct decision.

Our strategy - to breed and then adapt or die - must be more successful strategy than population optimization (keeping everyone at a healthy minimum level)
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Hugh
Commenting on the heading for this article. The Canadian government can NOT , look after its citizens now. To bring people into this country needing support is not sensible thinking.
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Giles Slade
Leftists stay up at night worrying about this crap, yes.

My new book AMERICAN EXODUS, deals with the immanent wave of climate refugees into Canada from the United States and Mexico.

We are at a tipping point of human migration and Canada's population, 35 million, is insignificant compared to the populations of Central America (a drought zone), Mexico (a drought zone), the United States (partially a drought zone, and a site for coastal mega hurricances and riverine floods).

In the new century, hot flat and crowded will become the rule and Canada is a country whose water resources will increase by 30-40%. We can expect a lot of company AND this is not the first time human migration has happened in North America. The 20th century saw major movements of population during The Dust Bowl, since 1982 when the economy and environment of northern Mexico collapsed and since hurricane Katrina when 500, 000 left the city with only 200, 000 returning.

During 2012, 32 million people were in flight internationally because of extreme weather events. This includes nearly 800, 000 Americans. Canada now has 1, 000, 000 former Americans living within our borders and Americans are the fourth largest and fastest growing group of immigrants.

Read American Exodus for a look into our children's future...
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dan
“The tsunami that devastated the region in 1988 was the trigger,’’

Tsunamis are geological, not climatological. Thanks for the science, Professor Gore.
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Jules Martin
There are two basic problems in the world today. #1 greed, on an unbelievable scale. #2 overpopulation. Do you honestly believe that people in Canada are going to agree to accept millions of refugees? Would you be willing to give up the clean good life we have here so millions can come? I am not suggesting turning people away, just looking at the issue with questions that are going to be very hard to answer. Best of luck to the refugees.
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da kretch
Are we confusing migration with invasion. Big diffference in the local reactionand rightly so. That Darwin thing.
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out at night
I'm convinced that Vancouver has already received many people I'd consider climate refugees, but of the wealthy variety. Say you're rich, and you live in some insanely polluted capital somewhere out there in the world. You travel to Vancouver for your niece's wedding, and say to yourself, "Ai carumba I could get used to this much fresh air!" One luxury condo sale later, you're in! Maybe it sits empty for months at a time, but when the environmental chips are well and truly down, there it is: your little island of clean, happy, prosperous living, with good water, great health care and a helluva view!
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Global Warming is the barbarians stupid
Arent tsunamis triggered by earthquakes? Does CO2 cause earthquakes? When the ice in your Koolaid melts does your glass overflow? Should we al really alow our borders to be bombarder and our healthcare system bankrupted by refugees and illegals because of artificial crisises made up by gliberal snakes?
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Martin Dunphy
dan and barbarians:

Again, please try reading past the first paragraph. It does wonders for the comprehension.
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G
Didn't take long to find a reference to "Herr Harper" in the comments, I wonder what that implies? Does our PM speak German? Or perhaps it is one of those acceptable little bits of racism that is acceptable to the conditioned herd? The left seethes when righties refer to "comrade" [lefty politician name here] yet that term is one favoured by the conditioned left. Referring to Harpo by the title "herr" can only mean one is convinced Harpo is a Nazi, which is absurd hyperbole at best and wilful ignorance at worst. Naturally the left herd remain convinced that Harpo is just a mustache away from declaring himself PM for life and that they are suffering under unheard of oppression thanks to the Con dictatorship.

I am fortunate, or unfortunate, to have actually been places where the government makes opposition leaders disappear so perhaps I have a more rational perspective on Harpo's misrule. He is just another in a long line of illegitimate heads of government in the history of our country dating back to 1867. Our system itself is flawed, giving far too much weight to voters in "have not" Provinces thanks to shenanigans capped with Trudeau's anti-democratic Constiution. Harpo is no more or less legitimate than Martin, Chrétien, Campbell, Mulroney, Turner, Trudeau, Pearson and so on down the line.

Sadly the situation will never change because too many of you are conditioned to believe that one of the parties is somehow "right" and concerned with the citizens of our country. There isn't a person elected to Ottawa who won't do whatever it takes to stay I power long enough to get a pension, even if that means breaking the law. NDP, Liberal & Conservative MPs are looking out for themselves and their party donors first: the people of this country are the last concern of elected officials.

Climate refugees? Are we ready? Considering how few people and governments are prepared for a natural disaster the answer is a resounding "no." Does it matter? Not particularly. Humanity will muddle through like they always have. The population may drop and move but humans will still be here regardless of the doomsday predictions. The hubris of those who believe we are the be all end all of existence or the root of all problems is simply the default setting of a well conditioned mind.
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Global Barbarians
@Dunphy The tsunami caused the displacement. Period. The author is using this real disaster and then tacking on climate change for emotional effect to give the illusion of an emergency that is costing lives. If you want to know what will cause real displacement in the developing world it is the rising price of food because of green taxes on the poor like the ones almost squirmed through at Copenhagen. Not to mention C02 is PLANT FOOD and reducing emissions will further spread desertification. Of course the overpopulation alarmests want to see the third world die.
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Martin Dunphy
Global:

The author quoted another writer about the 1988 tsunami. Neither writer stated that CO2 causes tsunamis, which is patently absurd.
The point made was that the tsunami contaminated soil far inland with salt, and that climate-change-induced rising sea levels and reduced river flows between monsoons took over afterward, further increasing that soil damage and infiltrating the water table, affecting farming and water supplies.
Again, easy to see if you read past the first paragraph.
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Lewis S
In reference to the following statement:

"“The tsunami that devastated the region in 1988 was the trigger,’’ Donatien Garnier wrote in 2010’s Climate Refugees about the disaster that struck southwestern Bangladesh 25 years ago."

are earthquake caused by climate change?
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Martin Dunphy
Lewis S

I give up.
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