Polls show B.C. election could be a cliffhanger

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      Two new media-financed polls reveal that the B.C. election may still be up for grabs.

      A Global News Ipsos poll has the B.C. NDP at 40 percent, the B.C. Liberals at 39 percent, and the B.C. Greens at 17 percent of decided and leaning voters.

      The B.C. Greens are up three percent from the last Global News Ipsos poll, whereas the B.C. Liberals are down four percent and the B.C. NDP is off by a single percentage point.

      "The biggest factor on Election Day (and advance polls) is which voters actually turn up to cast their ballot," Ipsos stated in a news release. 

      The Global News Ipsos poll is accurate within three percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

      A Mainstreet Research poll financed by Postmedia shows the same results: 40 percent for the B.C. NDP, 39 percent for the B.C. Liberals, and 17 percent for the B.C. Greens among decided and leaning voters. It lists 14 percent of B.C. voters as undecided.

      According to the Mainstreet poll, the B.C. Liberals have closed the gap to a three-point disadvantage in the seat-rich Lower Mainland, but the B.C. NDP has expanded its lead on Vancouver Island. 

      “It’s 2013 all over again” Mainstreet president Quito Maggi said in a news release. “Our final poll finds the NDP and Liberals in a dead heat—but despite the statistical tie in support, we’re expecting a Liberal majority government on Tuesday night. For the NDP to win they would need to be leading by substantially more given the inefficiency of their vote, with a statistical dead heat, [and] we expect Liberal incumbents will be able to pull themselves over the finish line.”

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