Conservative MP Wai Young could lose seat in Vancouver South, poll suggests

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      In the 2011 federal election, Wai Young of the Conservatives won in Vancouver South with 43 percent of the vote.

      Ujjal Dosanjh of the Liberals lost their rematch of the 2008 election, which he won, placing second. NDP candidate Meena Wong came third. Green candidate Jean Hakizimana wasn't much of a factor, in fourth spot.

      As the 2015 federal election approaches, a new poll shows support has swung back in favour of the Liberals in this hotly contested riding, whose boundaries are being adjusted.

      Conducted by Insights West for the Dogwood Initiative, the telephone study of 301 adult residents of Vancouver South has the Liberals in the lead with 27 percent voter support.

      The NDP is second at 21 percent. The Conservatives are back in third place at 17 percent.

      Meanwhile, the Greens are at three percent. Two percent picked "other". A full 30 percent, however, are not sure about their voting intentions.

      Young is seeking reelection. The Liberals are running Harjit Sajjan.

      Insights West also looked at the ridings of North Vancouver, West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country, and South Okanagan-West Kootenay, whose voters supported the Conservatives in 2011.

      According to Insights West, the NDP has a 24 percentage point lead over the Conservatives in South Okanagan-West Kootenay.

      The Liberals and Conservatives are neck and neck in North Vancouver and West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country, with the NDP close behind.

      “The level of support for Conservative candidates in South—Okanagan and Vancouver South is particularly low at this point,” Mario Canseco, vice president of public affairs for Insights West, said in a news release today (July 10). “In North Vancouver and West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea-to-Sky Country, the incumbent party’s candidates are headed for tighter races than the ones they fought in 2011.”

      Insights West also asked residents which party leader they think would make the best prime minister, and whether they think B.C. would benefit from more oil tankers on its coast.

      "Mulcair is clearly ahead as the preferred PM in two ridings. Trudeau does better in Vancouver South and Harper in North Vancouver," a study presentation states.

      The presentation also says: "More than three-in-five residents in three ridings think more oil tankers on the coast would not be beneficial to British Columbia."

      The poll's margin of error for each riding is 5.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. It was conducted July 3 to 7.



      Don't be Conned

      Jul 10, 2015 at 11:40am

      Why would any rational Canadian vote for a party that signed and ratified FIPA giving Communist China sovereign rights over Canadian Resources.

      Above any Canadians interests that can not be judicially reviewed by any Canadian Courts and any dispute is decided in secret offshore.

      Canada is already the most sued nation under NAFTA FIPA gives Communist China even more rights over Canada than NAFTA.

      I am voting anyone other than this anti-Canadian pro Communist Corporate Welfare and anti-environment lot.

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      First Alberta, then...

      Jul 10, 2015 at 2:30pm

      It's the NDP's time. Voting Liberal will just give the PC another victory.

      C. H.

      Jul 10, 2015 at 3:46pm

      NDP Thomas Mulcair is the person to vote for our Prime Minister in this fall's federal election. Liberal Justin Trudeau is too inexperienced and is controlled by the old guards. Conservative Stephen Harper has had his chance and he's messed up our country really really bad.

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      Strategic Votes

      Jul 10, 2015 at 3:59pm

      A smart voter would vote for either Liberal or NDP whoever had a good chance of winning that particular seat in your riding.

      Instead of wasting a vote on the second place party in the riding if its between Liberal and NDP.

      So for example if the NDP is in a clear lead in a particular seat and the Liberal second don't waste or split your vote on the second place in this case.

      Or vice versa if its the other way around.

      The centre left should avoid vote splitting otherwise the Cons stay in power even with a minority in seats.

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      Jul 10, 2015 at 5:18pm

      Given the present snapshot two things stand out.
      First, there are still a significant number of undecided.
      Second, the Green vote in both North Vancouver and West Vancouver ridings is splitting the anti-Harper vote.
      When it moves, it could help either the New Democrats or the Liberals, as the ABC "Anybody But Conservative" vote may generally go to whichever party - NDP or Liberal - that people see as capable of defeating the local Conservative!
      Right now, that looks like Tom Mulcair and the New Democrats!

      Stan Hopper

      Jul 10, 2015 at 6:01pm

      Vote for the party that best represents your interests. Strategic voting enthusiasts such as Leadnow were saying vote Liberal in seats that the NDP won in the recent Alberta election. Usually when people are recommending strategic voting it means vote Liberal. Think about that. Do you want a change in government? The NDP are leading, or in the race in all 4 ridings. Think about that as well.


      Jul 10, 2015 at 10:55pm

      Awesome! Justin Trudeau and the 2015 Liberals have an excellent platform laid out so far and there's a great team behind them. Go Harjit Sajjan and the other BC candidates like Jody Wilson-Raybould and Hedy Fry!

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      Jul 10, 2015 at 10:55pm

      Awesome! Justin Trudeau and the 2015 Liberals have an excellent platform laid out so far and there's a great team behind them. Go Harjit Sajjan and the other BC candidates like Jody Wilson-Raybould and Hedy Fry!


      Jul 11, 2015 at 8:34am

      Wai Young should have never been elected in the first place. have any of you ever heard her speak? No, I am not talking about her accent - she makes Christie look like a Rhodes scholar....

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      Jul 11, 2015 at 9:22am

      It's the economy stupid. Stupid describes how a person with an economics degree has been running the country. To quote S. Harper before he was PM. "Harper lashed out at a system that has allowed corporations to benefit from government subsidies, saying Canadians have not received value for their money." Well Steve, just because taxes were slashed DOES NOT mean the companies will re-invest the windfall either.
      What was the national debt in 2004 ? $499 Billion
      What is it now? over a trillion.
      In less than 11 years the prudent fiscal managers did what it took all the other PM's since 1867 to do, double the debt.
      Can we afford 4 more years ? Stevie, where did our money go?
      The American economy has turned around and we are in a recession. Way to go Stevie, you turned 8 consecutive years of budget surpluses into over 500 million in extra debt. What is next in the game plan, killing more Canadian soldiers, then fighting with the survivors. Lest we forget, no we won't.

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