In the 2011 federal election, Wai Young of the Conservatives won in Vancouver South with 43 percent of the vote.
Ujjal Dosanjh of the Liberals lost their rematch of the 2008 election, which he won, placing second. NDP candidate Meena Wong came third. Green candidate Jean Hakizimana wasn't much of a factor, in fourth spot.
As the 2015 federal election approaches, a new poll shows support has swung back in favour of the Liberals in this hotly contested riding, whose boundaries are being adjusted.
Conducted by Insights West for the Dogwood Initiative, the telephone study of 301 adult residents of Vancouver South has the Liberals in the lead with 27 percent voter support.
The NDP is second at 21 percent. The Conservatives are back in third place at 17 percent.
Meanwhile, the Greens are at three percent. Two percent picked "other". A full 30 percent, however, are not sure about their voting intentions.
Young is seeking reelection. The Liberals are running Harjit Sajjan.
Insights West also looked at the ridings of North Vancouver, West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country, and South Okanagan-West Kootenay, whose voters supported the Conservatives in 2011.
According to Insights West, the NDP has a 24 percentage point lead over the Conservatives in South Okanagan-West Kootenay.
The Liberals and Conservatives are neck and neck in North Vancouver and West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country, with the NDP close behind.
“The level of support for Conservative candidates in South—Okanagan and Vancouver South is particularly low at this point,” Mario Canseco, vice president of public affairs for Insights West, said in a news release today (July 10). “In North Vancouver and West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea-to-Sky Country, the incumbent party’s candidates are headed for tighter races than the ones they fought in 2011.”
Insights West also asked residents which party leader they think would make the best prime minister, and whether they think B.C. would benefit from more oil tankers on its coast.
"Mulcair is clearly ahead as the preferred PM in two ridings. Trudeau does better in Vancouver South and Harper in North Vancouver," a study presentation states.
The presentation also says: "More than three-in-five residents in three ridings think more oil tankers on the coast would not be beneficial to British Columbia."
The poll's margin of error for each riding is 5.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. It was conducted July 3 to 7.