Today, Vancouver Quadra Liberal MP Joyce Murray sensibly suggested that people should avoid splitting votes to ensure that Conservatives will win the next federal election. (If you doubt the wisdom of this, check out this article: "What might Stephen Harper do in his fourth term as prime minister?")
So how does a voter avoid splitting votes in this region?
It's quite simple, actually. There are some ridings where Harper's candidate will slide up the middle if enough Liberal, Green, or NDP supporters back the wrong horse. So the key is to vote strategically rather than with your heart in those electoral districts.
In other ridings, that's not necessary. For example in Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, and Vancouver Kingsway, voters can cast ballots for any candidate they like. That's because there's no chance of a Conservative being elected. The same is true in New Westminster–Burnaby, which might be the safest NDP seat in the province.
Several other seats are Conservative shoo-ins, so voters can freely vote for any other candidate. These include Cloverdale–Langley City, Delta, Langley-Aldergrove, and South Surrey–White Rock, where former Surrey mayor Dianne Watts has been nominated.
In the following ridings, here are my recommendations, as of today, for the candidate who's most likely to stop Harper.
Burnaby North–Seymour: Carol Baird Ellan (NDP)
Burnaby South: Kennedy Stewart (NDP)
Port Moody–Coquitlam: Fin Donnelly (NDP)
Richmond Centre: Lawrence Woo (Liberal)
Surrey Centre: Jasbir Sandhu (NDP)
Vancouver Granville: Jody Wilson-Raybould (Liberal)
Vancouver Quadra: Joyce Murray (Liberal)
Vancouver South: Harjit Singh Sajjan (Liberal)
West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country: Pamela Goldsmith-Jones (Liberal)
Meanwhile, it's too early to predict North Vancouver. For now, I'll suggest keeping an eye on Jonathan Wilkinson (Liberal) and Claire Martin (Green). Wait a few months to see who has more momentum in going against the Conservative incumbent, Andrew Saxton.
Surrey-Newton is also a toss-up right now. If the Liberals are five points ahead of the NDP in national polls, then people should go for Sukh Dhaliwal. But if the NDP is doing well in the national polls, then progressive voters should support Jinny Sims, who's been a strong, community-minded MP.