NDP under Thomas Mulcair opens up large lead in first poll after federal election called

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      NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair may have a new home in Ottawa at 24 Sussex Drive if he can remain as popular on election day as he appears to be after the writ was dropped.

      Forum Research has released a poll of 1,399 Canadians that shows Mulcair was seen as the best choice for prime minister by 31 percent of respondents.

      That was significantly higher than the 24 percent who preferred Conservative Leader Stephen Harper and the 22 percent who named Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau.

      The poll indicated that 39 percent of respondents say they will vote NDP, compared to 28 percent for the Conservatives, 25 percent for the Liberals, five percent for the Bloc Quebcois, and three percent for the Greens.

      Based on these numbers, Forum Research stated that the NDP would capture 160 seats in the 338-seat Parliament. The Conservatives would win 118 and the Liberals would take 56.

      In B.C., the NDP has a commanding lead with 44 percent support. The Liberals are at 26 percent and the Conservatives have 24 percent, according to Forum Research.

      The poll identified a huge gender gap among Conservatives. Harper's party has the support of 34 percent of males but only 22 percent of females.

      The NDP has significantly more support from females (42 percent) than males (35 percent).

      The Liberals are supported by 27 percent of females and 23 percent of males. 

      "Support for the Conservatives is highest among the least educated (34%) and lowest among the most educated (19%), while the opposite applies with the NDP (35% and 45%, respectively)," Forum Research stated on its website. 

      The NDP has the greatest support among voters under 35 years old (41 percent) and those 35 to 44 (42 percent).

      Voters go to the polls across Canada on October 19.




      Aug 3, 2015 at 9:21am

      "The NDP has the greatest support among voters under 35 years old (41 percent) and those 35 to 44 (42 percent)."

      This is the NDP's biggest liability. The under 35's are the least likely to vote.

      John G

      Aug 3, 2015 at 9:51am

      WTI oil down to $46 a barrel today and sinking like a stone. Harper's budget based on $55 a barrel oil is toast and Canada will run a significant deficit and recession for 2015, 2016, and 2017 because his one trick pony economy has gone bust. Fire this idiot.


      Aug 3, 2015 at 11:31am

      One has to seriously consider the Party biases and the likely governance that would come from each Party in power. It s not so much about liking or disliking a leader. It is what policies will follow. That is why the NDP are so dangerous to our national welfare, for we know what a disaster their policies have been around the world. We don’t need to bring those handicaps to our shores.

      Con Job

      Aug 3, 2015 at 11:35am

      Cons your fired haha!

      Charles B

      Aug 3, 2015 at 11:55am

      I believe there will be a much larger turnout of younger voters for the NDP. They have been motivated by Harper and they know they can make a difference - The Orange Wave is moving and growing from Coast to Coast to Coast!

      Harper and Justin T are toast as most voters see very little difference between Justin T and Stephen Harper -


      Aug 3, 2015 at 12:15pm

      Re: Con support "highest among the least educated". I can see a Jon Stewart doing a commentary on that with the reminder of how important it is to get an education.


      Aug 3, 2015 at 1:43pm

      Well may be disaster policies are a concern to some to me its more about democracy. Any new government will have problems when elected with the economy in its present state and to get us out of the mess we are in.


      Aug 3, 2015 at 3:24pm

      To Observant:
      What do you mean by "NDP policies being disastrous around the world"? How do NDP policies effect other parts of the world and please can you be specific?

      Guilin Fish

      Aug 3, 2015 at 4:50pm

      The NDP will bring in a proportional electoral system - which means that for the following election every vote will count and will result in less "strategic voting".

      Critical thinker

      Aug 3, 2015 at 8:12pm

      Yes, the NDP is most popular, and yes they lead in polls. But, can they govern effectively? Will they serve the public interest, or will they serve the interests of those closest to their levers of power?