One of the favourite political guessing games in Vancouver concerns the future of the city's only MP who's been expelled from Justin Trudeau's caucus.

In 2015 Jody Wilson-Raybould was elected as a Liberal MP in Vancouver Granville and became the justice minister and attorney general.

But earlier this year, the prime minister kicked her out of caucus after she delivered searing testimony to the Commons justice committee.

It concerned the prime minister's office's attempts to get her to reconsider her refusal to grant a deferred prosecution agreement to SNC-Lavalin, which faces corruption and bribery charges.

On Monday (May 27), Wilson-Raybould will "make a community announcement about her political future" at Marpole Neighbourhood House.

The building is near the southern tip of her riding.

The fact that the announcement is occurring in Vancouver Granville—and not on northeastern Vancouver Island—suggests the Vancouver-born politician won't run in the traditional territory of her We Wai Kai Nation.

Another question is whether Wilson-Raybould will run as an independent or with any parties other than the Liberals.

The best bet at this point is probably the Greens, considering the success of its candidate, Paul Manly, in the Nanaimo-Ladysmith by-election.

This is especially so if Wilson-Raybould seeks reelection in Vancouver Granville, which includes the wealthy area of Shaughnessy, which isn't known to be fond of NDP candidates.

And Wilson-Raybould is unlikely to switch to the Conservatives, given the party's failure to dump the Indian Act and its hostility to Indigenous fisheries during the Stephen Harper era.

It's worth noting that Wilson-Raybould received a standing ovation when she attended the Earth Day wedding of Green Leader Elizabeth May.

May is 64, so this could be her final time leading the Greens into a federal election.

If Wilson-Raybould gets elected as a Green, it could make her the odds-on favourite to succeed May as the federal leader.

That would give her an opportunity to go toe-to-toe with Trudeau in the House of Commons.

That just might boost the ratings of the Cable Public Affairs Channel, which broadcasts parliamentary debates.

Of course, she might face some competition in the race to succeed May.

Another former Liberal cabinet minister, Jane Philpott, will also make an announcement at a farmers market on Monday about her plans.

Philpott is a friend of Wilson-Raybould's—and Philpott's riding of Markham-Stouffville is anything but NDP.

If both Philpott and Wilson-Raybould commit to becoming Green candidates, it could radically change the dynamics in the October 21 federal election campaign.

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